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It's the NFL postseason, and ESPN betting analysts Doug Kezirian (2-1 last week, 21-31-2 overall), Joe Fortenbaugh (2-1, 33-56-1), Anita Marks (15-2, 107-100-2), Preston Johnson (0-0, 15-20), Mike Clay (0-0, 16-10) and Tyler Fulghum (2-3, 60-81-2), sports betting deputy editor David Bearman (3-0, 34-22), Seth Walder (2-0, 50-31) of ESPN analytics and Aaron Schatz (2-2, 42-45-2) of Football Outsiders are here to tell us what bets they like from this weekend's wild-card slate.

Note: Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill and subject to change.

Sunday's games

Baltimore Ravens (-3.5, 54.5) at Tennessee Titans, 1:05 p.m. ET

Schatz: Tight end Mark Andrews is still Lamar Jackson's favorite target, and that's where Jackson is going to go against the weak Tennessee pass defense. The Titans rank dead last in DVOA covering tight ends. Andrews had only 27 yards against Cincinnati last week, but he beat this prop in five straight games before that.

Pick: Andrews over 56.5 receiving yards (-115)

Fulghum: The Ravens were my pick prior to the season to win the Super Bowl and, while they've had some rough spots during the season, they're certainly peaking at the right time. Baltimore closed the regular season with five straight wins, albeit against subpar competition, but the cumulative margin of victory in those five games was +97, almost 20 points per win.

One thing we definitely know to do is bet the over in games involving Tennessee and Ryan Tannehill. The over is 21-4-1 in games Tannehill has started since taking over the job last season. The Titans have a wildly efficient offense and an abysmal defense, which helps explain this remarkable trend.

Pick: Ravens -3.5, over 54.5, Jackson over 69.5 rushing yards (-115), Jackson over 1.5 TD passes (+130), Marquise Brown over 48.5 receiving yards (-115), Derrick Henry over 26.5 rushing attempts (-120)

Marks: Jackson has been dreaming of this postseason rematch for a year. Baltimore's offense has been on a tear lately, averaging over 30 points per game and scoring on over 60% of their offensive possessions during a five-game winning streak. And the Titans' defense presents a desirable matchup; it is 31st in pressure rate, has only 19 sacks and has allowed 36 passing touchdowns this season. The Ravens' offense continues to roll, and everybody gets in on the action.

Pick: Ravens team total over 29.5, Jackson over 203.5 passing yards (-115), J.K. Dobbins over 60.5 rushing yards (-115), Andrews anytime TD (+125)

Chicago Bears at New Orleans Saints (-10, 47), 4:40 p.m. ET

Johnson: It appears Alvin Kamara will be able to play Sunday, but to what extent and how effectively remains a question. While I am generally on board with the 'running backs don't matter' narrative, Kamara's impact is certainly visible (both on the ground and through the air). He scored 21 touchdowns in 15 games this season and finished No. 2 among running backs in DVOA. That being said, I still like the under in this matchup. The Bears' rush defense is the best in the NFL in terms of success rate. If Kamara is limited or isn't 100 percent, it's going to be difficult for New Orleans' run game to find success.

Both defenses are ranked in the top six in success rate against both the pass and the run -- the Steelers are the only other team in the league that can boast that. They are all ranked top six in adjusted defensive EPA, too.

Offensively, only three teams are worse in EPA than the Bears (the Jaguars, Broncos and Jets). While Chicago has performed better with Mitchell Trubisky under center instead of Nick Foles over the course of the season, it's worth noting that Trubisky hasn't faced a single defense that ranks in the top 13 in DVOA. Even against the average defenses he has seen this year, his numbers are below average relative to the league. The Saints' defense ranks No. 2 in DVOA and will be the best Trubisky will face by a pretty big margin.

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Chicago is 14th in the NFL in seconds per play (28.0), and the Saints are 29th (29.6). This game doesn't project to be played at a high pace, boasts two of the best defenses in the NFL and features one of the worst offenses in the league. This total is too high for me.

Pick: Under 47

Fortenbaugh: Trubisky and the Bears looked mighty fine during that mirage of a 3-game winning streak in which the team took down the likes of Houston, Minnesota and Jacksonville, three uninspiring franchises that combined to post a record of 12-36 this season while all ranking 24th or worse in pass defense. That's not going to fly in New Orleans on Sunday against a Saints squad that ranked 4th in opponent yards per play and 5th in scoring defense. The Bears bring some defensive firepower to the table as well (10th in opponent yards per play, 13th in scoring defense), which is why I see this one featuring more grinding than most may anticipate.

Under 47

Marks: Michael Thomas is expected back Sunday, and his involvement in the Saints' offense expands and stretches the field for their small-ball scheme. Kamara is expected to be ready to go as well, and if feeling well should be on tap for a huge day in both the rushing and passing game. As for the Bears, New Orleans' defense will pose a difficult challenge against the run, forcing Trubisky to rely on his passing game. The Bears are 1-6 against winning teams and averaged only 16 points per game in those contests.

Pick: Saints team total over 28.5, Trubisky under 243.5 passing yards (-115), David Montgomery under 93.5 total yards (-115)

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-6, 47.5), 8:15 p.m. ET

Bearman: If you told me five weeks ago that these two teams would be meeting up in the wild-card round and the line would be less than a TD, I would've called that absurd and backed the truck up. A lot has changed in those five weeks, but I believe one thing has stayed the same. At almost full strength, the Steelers are much better than the Browns. Last week, with Pittsburgh sitting everyone vs. these same Browns, Cleveland struggled to win and clinch a playoff berth, hanging on when Pittsburgh missed the tying 2-point conversion. A rested Big Ben and most of the Steelers' starters will be back for this one, more resembling the 11-0 team than the one that limped to a 1-4 finish.

There were six teams that finished 6-10 or worse against the spread this season: the Cowboys, Vikings, Eagles, Jets, Texans and the playoff-bound Browns. Kudos to Kevin Stefanski and crew for winning the close ones (7-2 in one-score games), but I am not buying it. Looking at the Week 6 matchup between these teams, the Steelers held the Browns to 220 total yards and Baker Mayfield threw two interceptions. The Steelers have the third-best defense overall and third-best defense against the pass and should be able to shut Cleveland down like they did in Week 6, even missing Terrell Edmunds and T.J. Watt. And that's with the Browns at full strength, before factoring in the COVID-19 shutdowns that have already started at the Browns' facility and missing the potential coach of the year winner. Hopefully you were able to get it at 3.5 or 4.5 like I did earlier in the week, but I'd still lay the 6.

Pick: Steelers -6

Schatz: The Cleveland defense is not good, and the Pittsburgh defense is very good -- the best in the league by Football Outsiders' DVOA ratings. And the Pittsburgh offense ranked just 22nd this year. Meanwhile, the Cleveland offense will be a little hobbled by the absence of its head coach (and usual offensive playcaller) due to COVID-19 protocols. Both teams were also in the bottom half of the league in total pace this season. Eight of the past nine Pittsburgh games have gone under this 47.5-point total. So have six of the past nine Cleveland games, although a couple of those had weather issues.

Pick: Under 47.5

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Marks: The Browns are dealing with a lot. COVID-19 has shut down their facility, they will be missing their head coach Sunday, and an injured stud offensive lineman (Joel Bitonio) and an injured stud pass-rusher (Olivier Vernon) are out. If that isn't enough, they have a date with a rested Steelers team whose backup quarterback put up 300 passing yards against them in week 17.

Mayfield has played well of late, but this week faces a tough task. This Steelers' defense leads the league in pressure rate at 32%, and it blitzes 40% of the time. Mayfield struggles when he doesn't have a clean pocket, averaging only 4.5 yards per attempt, and he has never passed for more than 200 yards in any of his five games against Pittsburgh.

Pick: Steelers Pk in teaser with Rams +9.5, Mayfield under 238.5 passing yards (-115)

Saturday's games

Indianapolis Colts at Buffalo Bills (-6.5, 51)

Final: Bills 27, Colts 24

Fulghum: This matchup pits the strengths of each offense against the weakness of each defense. We know Josh Allen is playing as well as any quarterback in the league right now -- with considerable help from wide receiver Stefon Diggs. Colts DC Matt Eberflus operates an extreme pass funnel defense. Indianapolis was second in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (90.5) and yards per rush allowed (3.71) this season. On the other hand, the Colts' defense was 20th or worse during the last four weeks of the regular season in QBR against, TD passes allowed and yards per game allowed. Jonathan Taylor gets the easier matchup against a Bills run defense that has been pedestrian all season, so expect a heavy dose of the rookie.

Pick: Over 51, Allen over 2.5 TD passes (+110), Allen over 301.5 passing yards (-115), Allen over 37.5 pass attempts (-115), Diggs over 7.5 receptions (+115)

Marks: The Bills enter the postseason with nine wins in their past 10 games, the lone loss being the 'Hail Murray' game against the Cardinals. Allen and the Bills have put on a clinic over that span, averaging 34.5 points per game and outgaining opponents by a wide margin on a per-game basis. The Colts have given up the third-most passing yards to quarterbacks over the past four weeks, so expect Allen to have a big day. A lot of points should be put up in this matchup, and expect the Colts' running backs to play a huge factor in trying to keep pace with the Bills. The Colts' offensive line will win the battle in the trenches, but at the end of the day, Buffalo's explosive offense will be too much to handle.

Pick: Bills -.5 in teaser with Washington/Tampa Bay under 51, Bills team total over 29.5, Allen over 301.5 passing yards (-115), Taylor over 73.5 rush yards (-115), Nyheim Hines over 26.5 receiving yards (-110)

Fortenbaugh: The Bills are an absolute wagon right now, having won the first half in nine straight contests by an average of 10 points per game. Additionally, Buffalo's +7.5 first half scoring differential ranks third-best in the NFL behind only the Baltimore Ravens and Green Bay Packers, two very solid organizations in their own right. Conversely, Indianapolis boasts the league's 24th-ranked first half scoring defense, which could struggle against a Josh Allen-led attack that ranked third in pass offense this season. Remember, Indy's weakness is defending the aerial assault, where the Colts finished the regular season campaign ranked 20th in pass defense, 19th in opponent yards per passing attempt and 23rd in plays allowed of 20 or more yards.

Pick: Bills 1st half -3.5

Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5, 43)

Final: Rams 30, Seahawks 20

Bearman: This is the lowest total of the six wild-card games this weekend, but it's still too high for these teams. Seattle has topped 23 points only twice in the past six games -- and one was vs. the Jets -- while allowing 20 or more only once in the past six weeks. The 14 points per game allowed since Week 12 is tops in the league, after the Seattle defense spent the first half of the season as one of the worst in the NFL. The Rams have the top defense in scoring, yards and passing yards, allowing 18.5 PPG and under 300 total yards per game.

On the offensive side, we do not know who is playing quarterback for the Rams, but it will be either Jared Goff, one week removed from surgery on a broken thumb, or John Wolford, who has all of one game under his belt, leading the Rams to zero TDs last week. During the season, 12 of the 16 Rams games hit the under, and seven of the past eight Seattle games went under. The teams played each other twice this season, finishing with 39 and 29 total points, respectively -- way under the posted total.

Pick: Under 43

Fortenbaugh: The QB situation for Los Angeles doesn't make a difference for me in this one, as these two NFC West foes have already faced off twice this season in games that featured a grand total of just 39 points and 29 points, respectively. That's due, in large part, to a wild transformation that took place in Seattle this season. Over the first eight games of the year, the Seahawks averaged 34.2 points per game on offense while permitting an average of 30.3 points per game on defense. However, during the second half of the campaign, Seattle averaged just 23.1 points per game on offense while holding the opposition to an elite 16 points per game on defense. Los Angeles ranks first in the NFL in scoring defense and 1st in opponent yards per play, which is an incredible resume in its own right. I'm not expecting a shootout in the Pacific Northwest on Saturday.

Pick: Under 43

Schatz: This is a tough game to pick because of the question mark at quarterback for the Rams, but I think it's likely we get Wolford. If Goff plays, he's likely to be less than 100 percent.

Seattle has improved on defense in the second half of the year, but Los Angeles has improved even more. Seattle has declined on offense in the second half of the year, but Los Angeles has declined even more. And that latter decline is why I'm picking Seattle. Due to Wolford and (even more) a hobbled Cam Akers, Week 17 was the Rams' worst offensive game of the year by DVOA. The week before, when Goff played hurt, was their second-worst offensive game of the year.

Pick: Seahawks -3.5

Marks: I like that Sean McVay is not announcing his starting quarterback until kickoff. Wolford looked good last week and is more athletic than Goff, and he should do some damage rushing the ball if he gets the call. The Rams' defense is the straw that stirs this West Coast drink, especially against the pass. Russell Wilson will not be cooking against a Rams secondary that is the best in the league in coverage and the stingiest against explosive passing plays. Rams opponents are scoring touchdowns on only 16% of their possessions. Wilson has been limited of late, not surpassing 200 passing yards in three straight weeks, and it doesn't get any easier on Saturday.

Pick: Rams +9.5 in teaser with Steelers Pk, Wilson under 255.5 passing yards (-115), DK Metcalf under 60.5 receiving yards (-115)

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8.5, 45) at Washington Football Team

Final: Buccaneers 31, Washington 23

Schatz: This is a meeting of two very good defenses and one very good offense. Washington's defense was third in our DVOA ratings this year, but Tampa Bay was right behind at No. 5. The gap on the other side of the ball, however, was colossal. Tampa Bay's offense was third in DVOA and has peaked in the past month. Washington's offense was last and is the worst offense of any team to make the playoffs since the start of DVOA ratings in 1985. And it has actually been slightly worse in games started by Alex Smith than in other games. (Kyle Allen was the best of the Washington quarterbacks this year, Dwayne Haskins the worst, and Smith in the middle.) There is a narrative out there that Tom Brady struggles in night games because they're 'past his bedtime,' but I'm going to trust that this narrative can't help Washington score points on the Tampa Bay defense. Besides, some of Brady's best performances just one year ago were in night games (such as the opening night of 2019 against Pittsburgh).

Pick: Buccaneers -8.5

Marks: I expect Smith to start at quarterback and for Washington to sprinkle in a little Taylor Heinicke every now and then to stretch the field. The bigger storyline is if Washington's defense can get after Brady. I like that NFC defensive rookie of the month Chase Young called out Tampa Tom. Washington brings the highest pressure rate that Brady will have faced all season. Brady's completion percentage drops to 44%, and he averages only 5 yards per pass attempt when under pressure. Washington's defense keeps this a low-scoring game, and J.D. McKissic and Logan Thomas help keep it close.

Pick: Under 51 in teaser with Bills -.5, Bucs team total under 27.5, Brady under 296.5 passing yards (-115), McKissic over 30.5 receiving yards (-120), Thomas anytime TD (+225)

Kezirian: This has all the makings of a low-scoring battle. Washington has exactly what you need to defend against Tampa Bay, ranking second in the league in passing yards allowed per attempt. A big reason for that is a sack percentage that ranks fourth. Young leads a defensive front that will apply all sorts of pressure on Brady, forcing quick throws and long scoring drives. On the other side, if the Washington offense is as inept as it has looked recently, Tampa Bay should be just fine playing conservatively and relying on field position to force Washington into lengthy scoring drives.

My only concern is whether Washington's offense is so inept that a lack of first downs provides Tampa Bay with short fields and turnovers. But this should come down to the wire, with each defense limiting the opposing offense. I lean to Washington to cover, but I prefer the under. Plus Washington's stiff defense will keep Brady relatively in check.

Football Gambling Cards

Pick: Under 45, Brady under 296.5 passing yards (-115)

Fortenbaugh: The 12 interceptions Brady threw in 2020 marked his second-highest total of the last 14 seasons (13 in 2009), a worrisome trend entering Saturday's wild card matchup against an opportunistic Washington defense that picked off 16 passes this year (t-5th in NFL). The six-time Super Bowl champ struggled this season against elite defenses, tossing five interceptions in two games against the Saints as well as two more in a loss to Aaron Donald and the Rams. Washington boasts that same type of pressure-heavy defense.

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Pick: Brady over 0.5 interceptions (-120)